2011 UGX to LBP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6564 LBP

YEARLY LOW

0.5219 LBP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5999 LBP

2011 UGX to LBP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to LBP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.6564. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 0.5219.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1345 LBP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6452 to the December average rate of 0.6149, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.6564 was down 16.74% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.7883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,282 LBP

2010 Average 3,460 LBP

Yearly Trough Low 2,609 LBP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 672.53 LBP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.6563

0.5241

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LBP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6325, compared to 0.5673 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0652 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6325

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5673

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0669 LBP (High: 0.6324 / Low: 0.5654). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0063 LBP (High: 0.6339 / Low: 0.6276).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0669

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0063

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0366 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0366

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.6452) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.7779), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1327 (-17.05%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.6452

2010 Avg (January) 0.7779

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6564	0.6276	0.6452
February	0.6523	0.6301	0.6407
March	0.6357	0.6203	0.6272
April	0.6462	0.6306	0.6343
May	0.6339	0.6276	0.6310
June	0.6324	0.5654	0.6164
July	0.5960	0.5779	0.5841
August	0.5779	0.5325	0.5476
September	0.5420	0.5238	0.5351
October	0.5835	0.5219	0.5381
November	0.6014	0.5714	0.5838
December	0.6380	0.5909	0.6149