2016 UGX to LBP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4562 LBP

YEARLY LOW

0.4151 LBP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4419 LBP

2016 UGX to LBP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to LBP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 23, valuing the pair at 0.4562. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.4151.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0411 LBP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4384 to the December average rate of 0.4191, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4562 was down 16.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,281 LBP

2015 Average 2,347 LBP

Yearly Trough Low 2,075 LBP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 205.61 LBP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4547

0.4158

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LBP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4465, compared to 0.4374 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4465

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4374

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0199 LBP (High: 0.4361 / Low: 0.4162). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 LBP (High: 0.4473 / Low: 0.4448).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0199

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0156 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0156

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.4515) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5037), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0522 (-10.37%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.4515

2015 Avg (April) 0.5037

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4469	0.4336	0.4384
February	0.4496	0.4352	0.4403
March	0.4515	0.4466	0.4488
April	0.4562	0.4471	0.4515
May	0.4548	0.4460	0.4515
June	0.4515	0.4425	0.4486
July	0.4491	0.4439	0.4468
August	0.4494	0.4466	0.4476
September	0.4473	0.4448	0.4464
October	0.4456	0.4357	0.4399
November	0.4361	0.4162	0.4243
December	0.4235	0.4151	0.4191