2018 UGX to LBP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4184 LBP

YEARLY LOW

0.3862 LBP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4061 LBP

2018 UGX to LBP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to LBP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.4184. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.3862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0322 LBP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4160 to the December average rate of 0.4063, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4184 was down 1.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4242, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,092 LBP

2017 Average 2,086 LBP

Yearly Trough Low 1,931 LBP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 160.88 LBP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4183

0.3918

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LBP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4093, compared to 0.4029 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4093

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4029

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0229 LBP (High: 0.4102 / Low: 0.3873). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0043 LBP (High: 0.4178 / Low: 0.4135).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0229

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0043

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0120 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4160) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4170), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0010 (-0.23%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4160

2017 Avg (January) 0.4170

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4184	0.4130	0.4160
February	0.4178	0.4135	0.4160
March	0.4178	0.4103	0.4144
April	0.4117	0.4066	0.4091
May	0.4092	0.4001	0.4060
June	0.4018	0.3862	0.3940
July	0.4102	0.3873	0.4026
August	0.4106	0.4016	0.4056
September	0.4040	0.3954	0.3981
October	0.4027	0.3957	0.4003
November	0.4067	0.4019	0.4048
December	0.4088	0.4035	0.4063