2016 UGX to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0281 LRD

YEARLY LOW

0.0243 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0261 LRD

2016 UGX to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 19, valuing the pair at 0.0281. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 0.0243.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0039 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0248 to the December average rate of 0.0255, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0281 was down 14.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0329, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 141 LRD

2015 Average 134 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 121 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19.49 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0275

0.0244

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0258, compared to 0.0265 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0258

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0265

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0022 LRD (High: 0.0274 / Low: 0.0251). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 LRD (High: 0.0268 / Low: 0.0266).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0022

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.0272) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0245), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0027 (+11.12%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.0272

2015 Avg (August) 0.0245

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0261	0.0244	0.0248
February	0.0252	0.0243	0.0247
March	0.0253	0.0251	0.0252
April	0.0274	0.0251	0.0263
May	0.0273	0.0267	0.0271
June	0.0271	0.0265	0.0269
July	0.0268	0.0266	0.0267
August	0.0281	0.0267	0.0272
September	0.0272	0.0270	0.0271
October	0.0271	0.0261	0.0267
November	0.0262	0.0250	0.0256
December	0.0262	0.0250	0.0255