2018 UGX to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0435 LRD

YEARLY LOW

0.0335 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0386 LRD

2018 UGX to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 16, valuing the pair at 0.0435. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.0335.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0101 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0349 to the December average rate of 0.0424, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0435 was up 24.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0349, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 218 LRD

2017 Average 144 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 167 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 50.28 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0432

0.0339

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0357, compared to 0.0416 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0357

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0416

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0051 LRD (High: 0.0435 / Low: 0.0384). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 LRD (High: 0.0360 / Low: 0.0357).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0051

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.0413) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0257), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0156 (+60.81%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.0413

2017 Avg (July) 0.0257

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0356	0.0338	0.0349
February	0.0358	0.0335	0.0347
March	0.0360	0.0357	0.0359
April	0.0358	0.0353	0.0355
May	0.0368	0.0352	0.0359
June	0.0387	0.0362	0.0371
July	0.0435	0.0384	0.0413
August	0.0415	0.0409	0.0411
September	0.0419	0.0404	0.0407
October	0.0418	0.0407	0.0415
November	0.0427	0.0418	0.0422
December	0.0427	0.0423	0.0424