2020 UGX to LRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0545 LRD

YEARLY LOW

0.0420 LRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0516 LRD

2020 UGX to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 0.0545. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 0.0420.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0125 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0520 to the December average rate of 0.0440, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0545 was down 5.03% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0573, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 272 LRD

2019 Average 252 LRD

Yearly Trough Low 210 LRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 62.35 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0552

0.0430

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0527, compared to 0.0505 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0527

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0505

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 0.0069 LRD (High: 0.0489 / Low: 0.0420). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 LRD (High: 0.0526 / Low: 0.0521).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0069

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0075 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0075

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2020: 0.0542) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0552), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0010 (-1.73%).

2020 Avg (August) 0.0542

2019 Avg (August) 0.0552

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0531	0.0508	0.0520
February	0.0538	0.0530	0.0535
March	0.0534	0.0504	0.0525
April	0.0528	0.0520	0.0524
May	0.0526	0.0521	0.0524
June	0.0536	0.0526	0.0533
July	0.0541	0.0534	0.0538
August	0.0545	0.0539	0.0542
September	0.0542	0.0535	0.0539
October	0.0538	0.0489	0.0522
November	0.0489	0.0420	0.0447
December	0.0449	0.0426	0.0440