2014 UGX to PYG Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8961 PYG

YEARLY LOW

1.5832 PYG

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7205 PYG

2014 UGX to PYG Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to PYG exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 1.8961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 12, dropping to 1.5832.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3128 PYG. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8518 to the December average rate of 1.6743, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.8961 was up 3.47% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.8326, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,480 PYG

2013 Average 8,347 PYG

Yearly Trough Low 7,916 PYG

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,564.24 PYG purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.8747

1.6002

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PYG Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7753, compared to 1.6657 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1096 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7753

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6657

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.1406 PYG (High: 1.8961 / Low: 1.7555). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0201 PYG (High: 1.7176 / Low: 1.6976).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1406

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0891 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0891

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 1.8362) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.5272), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3090 (+20.23%).

2014 Avg (February) 1.8362

2013 Avg (February) 1.5272

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8928	1.8201	1.8518
February	1.8961	1.7555	1.8362
March	1.7620	1.7264	1.7471
April	1.7641	1.7364	1.7561
May	1.7588	1.7382	1.7495
June	1.7389	1.6849	1.7110
July	1.6785	1.5832	1.6231
August	1.6506	1.6247	1.6363
September	1.6935	1.6340	1.6550
October	1.7176	1.6976	1.7067
November	1.7184	1.6687	1.6989
December	1.6878	1.6624	1.6743