2016 UGX to PYG Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7229 PYG

YEARLY LOW

1.5816 PYG

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6613 PYG

2016 UGX to PYG Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to PYG exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1.7229. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1.5816.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1413 PYG. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7109 to the December average rate of 1.6083, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7229 was down 1.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7554, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,614 PYG

2015 Average 8,058 PYG

Yearly Trough Low 7,908 PYG

Transaction Impact: A difference of 706.68 PYG purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7212

1.5980

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PYG Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6884, compared to 1.6341 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0543 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6884

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6341

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0474 PYG (High: 1.6290 / Low: 1.5816). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0136 PYG (High: 1.6481 / Low: 1.6345).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0474

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0136

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0261 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0261

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.7109) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6636), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0473 (+2.84%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.7109

2015 Avg (January) 1.6636

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7229	1.6968	1.7109
February	1.7080	1.6736	1.6918
March	1.7105	1.6745	1.6951
April	1.6769	1.6553	1.6694
May	1.6969	1.6618	1.6818
June	1.6936	1.6493	1.6814
July	1.6663	1.6483	1.6553
August	1.6496	1.6337	1.6412
September	1.6481	1.6345	1.6429
October	1.6509	1.6167	1.6368
November	1.6470	1.6012	1.6202
December	1.6290	1.5816	1.6083