2018 UGX to PYG Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6104 PYG

YEARLY LOW

1.4607 PYG

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5386 PYG

2018 UGX to PYG Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to PYG exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 1.6104. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 1.4607.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1497 PYG. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5513 to the December average rate of 1.5957, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6104 was up 0.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.6102, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,052 PYG

2017 Average 7,789 PYG

Yearly Trough Low 7,303 PYG

Transaction Impact: A difference of 748.40 PYG purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6068

1.4730

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PYG Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5159, compared to 1.5613 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0454 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5159

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5613

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0913 PYG (High: 1.5540 / Low: 1.4627). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0113 PYG (High: 1.5064 / Low: 1.4951).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0913

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0286 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0286

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1.5957) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5601), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0356 (+2.28%).

2018 Avg (December) 1.5957

2017 Avg (December) 1.5601

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5622	1.5330	1.5513
February	1.5606	1.5267	1.5383
March	1.5271	1.4950	1.5097
April	1.5064	1.4951	1.4998
May	1.5273	1.4928	1.5122
June	1.5218	1.4607	1.4842
July	1.5540	1.4627	1.5225
August	1.5583	1.5330	1.5462
September	1.5545	1.5300	1.5395
October	1.6001	1.5407	1.5748
November	1.6014	1.5772	1.5891
December	1.6104	1.5806	1.5957