2011 UGX to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0351 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.0248 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0291 RSD

2011 UGX to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.0351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.0248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0103 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0337 to the December average rate of 0.0319, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0351 was down 7.49% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0379, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 175 RSD

2010 Average 178 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 124 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51.71 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0345

0.0251

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0305, compared to 0.0278 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0027 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0305

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0278

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0031 RSD (High: 0.0334 / Low: 0.0302). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 RSD (High: 0.0329 / Low: 0.0317).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0031

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0017 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0337) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0351), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0014 (-4.04%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0337

2010 Avg (January) 0.0351

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0351	0.0326	0.0337
February	0.0329	0.0317	0.0322
March	0.0318	0.0300	0.0307
April	0.0305	0.0281	0.0295
May	0.0294	0.0279	0.0286
June	0.0292	0.0264	0.0282
July	0.0283	0.0270	0.0276
August	0.0272	0.0248	0.0258
September	0.0267	0.0248	0.0260
October	0.0277	0.0253	0.0261
November	0.0305	0.0279	0.0293
December	0.0334	0.0302	0.0319