2018 UGX to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0284 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.0258 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0269 RSD

2018 UGX to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.0284. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 0.0258.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0025 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0267 to the December average rate of 0.0280, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0284 was down 13.86% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0329, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 142 RSD

2017 Average 149 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 129 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12.68 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0282

0.0259

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0264, compared to 0.0274 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0264

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0274

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0015 RSD (High: 0.0274 / Low: 0.0259). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 RSD (High: 0.0265 / Low: 0.0260).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0280) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0277), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0003 (+1.09%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0280

2017 Avg (December) 0.0277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0273	0.0263	0.0267
February	0.0266	0.0260	0.0263
March	0.0265	0.0260	0.0262
April	0.0263	0.0258	0.0261
May	0.0272	0.0263	0.0268
June	0.0269	0.0259	0.0264
July	0.0274	0.0259	0.0269
August	0.0279	0.0268	0.0274
September	0.0271	0.0262	0.0267
October	0.0278	0.0267	0.0273
November	0.0281	0.0275	0.0278
December	0.0284	0.0278	0.0280