2016 UGX to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0340 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.0314 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0325 RSD

2016 UGX to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.0340. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 9, dropping to 0.0314.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0026 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0328 to the December average rate of 0.0325, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0340 was down 13.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0391, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 170 RSD

2015 Average 169 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 157 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13.10 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0331

0.0319

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0326, compared to 0.0325 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0326

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0325

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0022 RSD (High: 0.0336 / Low: 0.0314). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 RSD (High: 0.0327 / Low: 0.0324).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0022

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0005 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0329) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0377), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0048 (-12.82%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0329

2015 Avg (March) 0.0377

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0334	0.0324	0.0328
February	0.0336	0.0314	0.0323
March	0.0340	0.0321	0.0329
April	0.0331	0.0320	0.0324
May	0.0330	0.0321	0.0325
June	0.0330	0.0322	0.0326
July	0.0333	0.0325	0.0330
August	0.0329	0.0323	0.0326
September	0.0327	0.0324	0.0325
October	0.0328	0.0323	0.0325
November	0.0323	0.0316	0.0320
December	0.0334	0.0317	0.0325