2011 UGX to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0057 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.0043 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0050 SCR

2011 UGX to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 0.0057. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 25, dropping to 0.0043.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0014 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0053 to the December average rate of 0.0054, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0057 was down 2.82% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0059, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29 SCR

2010 Average 28 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 21 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.19 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0056

0.0043

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0052, compared to 0.0047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0052

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0007 SCR (High: 0.0050 / Low: 0.0043). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 SCR (High: 0.0052 / Low: 0.0051).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0007

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.0054) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0053), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0001 (+2.18%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.0054

2010 Avg (December) 0.0053

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0055	0.0051	0.0053
February	0.0053	0.0051	0.0052
March	0.0053	0.0050	0.0051
April	0.0053	0.0051	0.0052
May	0.0052	0.0051	0.0052
June	0.0052	0.0046	0.0050
July	0.0049	0.0046	0.0047
August	0.0048	0.0043	0.0044
September	0.0045	0.0043	0.0044
October	0.0050	0.0043	0.0045
November	0.0052	0.0048	0.0049
December	0.0057	0.0051	0.0054