2014 UGX to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0053 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.0046 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0049 SCR

2014 UGX to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 0.0053. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 13, dropping to 0.0046.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0007 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0048 to the December average rate of 0.0051, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0053 was up 8.25% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26 SCR

2013 Average 23 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 23 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3.39 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0052

0.0046

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0048, compared to 0.0050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0048

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0003 SCR (High: 0.0052 / Low: 0.0048). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 SCR (High: 0.0050 / Low: 0.0050).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 0.0052) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0048), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+8.64%).

2014 Avg (November) 0.0052

2013 Avg (November) 0.0048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0049	0.0048	0.0048
February	0.0050	0.0048	0.0049
March	0.0049	0.0047	0.0048
April	0.0049	0.0047	0.0048
May	0.0049	0.0047	0.0048
June	0.0048	0.0047	0.0048
July	0.0047	0.0046	0.0047
August	0.0050	0.0047	0.0048
September	0.0050	0.0050	0.0050
October	0.0053	0.0050	0.0051
November	0.0053	0.0051	0.0052
December	0.0052	0.0048	0.0051