2015 UGX to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0050 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.0035 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0042 SCR

2015 UGX to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.0050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 0.0035.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0015 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0049 to the December average rate of 0.0038, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0050 was down 6.11% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0053, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25 SCR

2014 Average 24 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 17 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.49 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0050

0.0034

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0046, compared to 0.0037 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0046

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0037

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.0004 SCR (High: 0.0044 / Low: 0.0039). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 SCR (High: 0.0049 / Low: 0.0048).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0049) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0048), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0001 (+1.13%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0049

2014 Avg (January) 0.0048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0050	0.0047	0.0049
February	0.0049	0.0048	0.0049
March	0.0049	0.0046	0.0047
April	0.0046	0.0045	0.0045
May	0.0046	0.0044	0.0045
June	0.0044	0.0039	0.0042
July	0.0041	0.0037	0.0039
August	0.0038	0.0035	0.0037
September	0.0037	0.0035	0.0036
October	0.0037	0.0035	0.0036
November	0.0039	0.0036	0.0038
December	0.0039	0.0037	0.0038