2016 UGX to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0030 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.0018 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0027 VEF

2016 UGX to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 0.0030. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 0.0018.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0012 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0018 to the December average rate of 0.0028, the exchange rate registered a net change of 51.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0030 was up 32.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0023, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15 VEF

2015 Average 10 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 9 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6.00 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0031

0.0017

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0024, compared to 0.0029 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0024

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0029

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0001 VEF (High: 0.0029 / Low: 0.0028). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 VEF (High: 0.0030 / Low: 0.0030).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0001

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0030) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0021), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0009 (+41.37%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0030

2015 Avg (April) 0.0021

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0019	0.0018	0.0018
February	0.0019	0.0018	0.0018
March	0.0019	0.0019	0.0019
April	0.0030	0.0030	0.0030
May	0.0030	0.0029	0.0030
June	0.0030	0.0029	0.0030
July	0.0030	0.0029	0.0030
August	0.0030	0.0030	0.0030
September	0.0030	0.0029	0.0030
October	0.0030	0.0029	0.0029
November	0.0029	0.0028	0.0028
December	0.0028	0.0027	0.0028