2019 UGX to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

68.5643 VEF

YEARLY LOW

65.7179 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

67.0847 VEF

2019 UGX to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 68.5643. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 65.7179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8464 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 67.0838 to the December average rate of 67.6249, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 68.5643 was up 1.89% compared to the 2018 peak of 67.2926, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 342,822 VEF

2018 Average 169,826 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 328,590 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,232.02 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

67.8172

65.8021

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 66.8017, compared to 67.3677 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5660 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 66.8017

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 67.3677

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 1.7377 VEF (High: 67.6104 / Low: 65.8727). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4059 VEF (High: 67.2800 / Low: 66.8741).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.7377

March Spread (Stable) ±0.4059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6007 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 67.3274) against the same month in 2018 (average: 48.6693), the exchange rate shifted by +18.6581 (+38.34%).

2019 Avg (August) 67.3274

2018 Avg (August) 48.6693

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	67.9384	66.5230	67.0838
February	67.8131	67.0901	67.6493
March	67.2800	66.8741	67.0666
April	66.9221	66.1188	66.4658
May	66.3747	65.7179	65.9701
June	67.6104	65.8727	66.5745
July	67.3971	66.7214	67.2153
August	68.5643	67.0984	67.3274
September	68.1853	67.2944	67.6083
October	67.7697	66.6398	67.1998
November	67.4587	66.9782	67.2305
December	67.8960	67.0685	67.6249