2020 UGX to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

68.1847 VEF

YEARLY LOW

63.3846 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

66.8655 VEF

2020 UGX to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 68.1847. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 24, dropping to 63.3846.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8001 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 67.5523 to the December average rate of 67.7978, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 68.1847 was down 0.55% compared to the 2019 peak of 68.5643, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 340,923 VEF

2019 Average 335,407 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 316,923 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,000.49 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

68.0212

65.3393

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 66.4830, compared to 67.2481 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 66.4830

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 67.2481

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 3.7618 VEF (High: 67.1464 / Low: 63.3846). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4749 VEF (High: 65.8205 / Low: 65.3456).

March Spread (Volatile) ±3.7618

May Spread (Stable) ±0.4749

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.5881 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5881

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 67.7978) against the same month in 2019 (average: 67.6249), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1729 (+0.26%).

2020 Avg (December) 67.7978

2019 Avg (December) 67.6249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	67.8349	66.9511	67.5523
February	67.8113	66.9786	67.5812
March	67.1464	63.3846	65.9932
April	66.2192	65.2761	65.7098
May	65.8205	65.3456	65.5628
June	66.7874	65.7439	66.4988
July	67.4247	66.6604	67.0944
August	67.9035	67.2392	67.5807
September	67.5681	66.8358	67.2172
October	67.3116	66.4041	66.8302
November	67.3399	66.4322	66.9683
December	68.1847	67.1431	67.7978