YEARLY HIGH
6.9593 CNY
YEARLY LOW
6.4532 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.6420 CNY

2016 USD to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the USD to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 6.9593. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 6.4532.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5061 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5648 to the December average rate of 6.9252, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.9593 was up 7.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.4938, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,797 CNY
2015 Average 31,362 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 32,266 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,530.25 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.9700
6.4332
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5352, compared to 6.7488 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2136 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5352
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7488

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1637 CNY (High: 6.9198 / Low: 6.7561). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0186 CNY (High: 6.6836 / Low: 6.6650).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1637
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0186

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0448 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0448

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 6.9252) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.4524), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4728 (+7.33%).

2016 Avg (December) 6.9252
2015 Avg (December) 6.4524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5869 6.4938 6.5648
February 6.5806 6.5066 6.5483
March 6.5519 6.4532 6.5035
April 6.4987 6.4608 6.4780
May 6.5833 6.4738 6.5295
June 6.6488 6.5624 6.5870
July 6.7014 6.6393 6.6757
August 6.6801 6.6278 6.6496
September 6.6836 6.6650 6.6732
October 6.7815 6.6571 6.7267
November 6.9198 6.7561 6.8426
December 6.9593 6.8798 6.9252