YEARLY HIGH
6.9757 CNY
YEARLY LOW
6.2685 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.6147 CNY

2018 USD to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the USD to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 31, valuing the pair at 6.9757. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 6.2685.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7072 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4264 to the December average rate of 6.8924, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.9757 was up 0.21% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.9610, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,879 CNY
2017 Average 33,788 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 31,343 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,535.85 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.0015
6.2355
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.3682, compared to 6.8612 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4930 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.3682
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8612

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2411 CNY (High: 6.5306 / Low: 6.2895). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0672 CNY (High: 6.8903 / Low: 6.8231).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2411
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0672

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1034 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1034

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 6.9198) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.6286), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2912 (+4.39%).

2018 Avg (October) 6.9198
2017 Avg (October) 6.6286

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5306 6.2895 6.4264
February 6.3587 6.2685 6.3230
March 6.3590 6.2731 6.3228
April 6.3381 6.2694 6.2993
May 6.4209 6.3248 6.3710
June 6.6276 6.3881 6.4668
July 6.8156 6.6163 6.7162
August 6.9357 6.8016 6.8461
September 6.8903 6.8231 6.8554
October 6.9757 6.8689 6.9198
November 6.9635 6.8908 6.9377
December 6.9590 6.8372 6.8924