2011 VEF to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.0168 GMD

YEARLY LOW

6.1418 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.5595 GMD

2011 VEF to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the VEF to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 28, valuing the pair at 7.0168. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 6.1418.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8750 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4526 to the December average rate of 6.7423, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 7.0168 was down 43.66% compared to the 2010 peak of 12.4537, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,084 GMD

2010 Average 32,972 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 30,709 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,375.05 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.8362

6.3746

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4513, compared to 6.6677 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4513

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6677

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.5716 GMD (High: 7.0168 / Low: 6.4452). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2071 GMD (High: 6.5843 / Low: 6.3771).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.5716

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0961 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0961

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 6.7778) against the same month in 2010 (average: 6.7632), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0146 (+0.22%).

2011 Avg (September) 6.7778

2010 Avg (September) 6.7632

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.5818	6.3113	6.4526
February	6.5843	6.3771	6.5321
March	6.5804	6.2271	6.4360
April	6.5416	6.2268	6.4131
May	6.5842	6.2938	6.4504
June	6.6702	6.1592	6.4235
July	6.6591	6.1418	6.4508
August	6.7173	6.3293	6.4774
September	7.0168	6.4452	6.7778
October	7.0056	6.5668	6.7598
November	6.9436	6.6860	6.7978
December	6.8807	6.6406	6.7423