YEARLY HIGH
6.7791 GMD
YEARLY LOW
4.2423 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7857 GMD

2016 VEF to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 6.7791. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 4.2423.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5368 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2502 to the December average rate of 4.2864, the exchange rate registered a net change of -31.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.7791 was down 2.15% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.9280, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,896 GMD
2015 Average 32,601 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 21,212 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,683.96 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.6374
4.0553
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2938, compared to 4.2775 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2938
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2775

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.5771 GMD (High: 6.7791 / Low: 6.2020). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0249 GMD (High: 4.2901 / Low: 4.2652).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5771
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.1445 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1445

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 6.4222) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.8145), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3923 (-5.76%).

2016 Avg (March) 6.4222
2015 Avg (March) 6.8145

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.2751 6.2068 6.2502
February 6.2696 6.1970 6.2454
March 6.7791 6.2020 6.4222
April 4.2962 4.2509 4.2777
May 4.2973 4.2708 4.2876
June 4.2982 4.2447 4.2800
July 4.2909 4.2423 4.2757
August 4.3024 4.2574 4.2758
September 4.2803 4.2551 4.2705
October 4.2901 4.2652 4.2765
November 4.3071 4.2527 4.2799
December 4.3340 4.2499 4.2864