YEARLY HIGH
7.9621 GMD
YEARLY LOW
5.1456 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9519 GMD

2013 VEF to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 7.9621. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 10, dropping to 5.1456.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8164 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7829 to the December average rate of 6.0273, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.9621 was up 0.05% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.9581, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,810 GMD
2012 Average 36,220 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 25,728 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,082.22 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

8.0426
4.9261
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5114, compared to 5.3924 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1191 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5114
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3924

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 2.6404 GMD (High: 7.8827 / Low: 5.2423). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0697 GMD (High: 5.2290 / Low: 5.1593).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.6404
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0697

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.9365 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9365

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 7.7829) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.9040), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8789 (+12.73%).

2013 Avg (January) 7.7829
2012 Avg (January) 6.9040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9621 7.5362 7.7829
February 7.9279 7.6519 7.7691
March 7.8827 5.2423 7.1995
April 5.3264 5.2264 5.2630
May 5.6066 5.2283 5.3162
June 5.8307 5.3771 5.7379
July 5.7030 5.1456 5.2315
August 5.5726 5.1645 5.2248
September 5.2290 5.1593 5.1858
October 5.2548 5.1547 5.1936
November 6.0511 5.1781 5.4911
December 6.0673 5.9670 6.0273