YEARLY HIGH
41.2834 HUF
YEARLY LOW
34.3197 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.9580 HUF

2014 VEF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the VEF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 41.2834. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 34.3197.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9636 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.1896 to the December average rate of 40.0630, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 41.2834 was down 25.30% compared to the 2013 peak of 55.2640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 206,417 HUF
2013 Average 196,469 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 171,599 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,818.21 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

40.5503
34.7022
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.5684, compared to 38.3477 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.7793 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.5684
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.3477

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.3650 HUF (High: 36.6848 / Low: 34.3197). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5827 HUF (High: 35.6243 / Low: 35.0416).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.3650
April Spread (Stable) ±0.5827

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4574 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4574

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 40.0630) against the same month in 2013 (average: 34.7717), the exchange rate shifted by +5.2913 (+15.22%).

2014 Avg (December) 40.0630
2013 Avg (December) 34.7717

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.6848 34.3197 35.1896
February 36.8785 35.7245 36.0728
March 36.1725 35.4947 35.8145
April 35.6243 35.0416 35.3571
May 35.4866 34.8347 35.2376
June 36.0780 35.2592 35.7391
July 37.1934 36.0935 36.3516
August 38.1275 37.0380 37.4507
September 39.0906 37.9940 38.5761
October 39.2702 38.0348 38.5533
November 39.6461 38.5949 39.0913
December 41.2834 39.0023 40.0630