YEARLY HIGH
46.1907 HUF
YEARLY LOW
27.1111 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.3034 HUF

2016 VEF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 46.1907. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 27.1111.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.0796 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.7731 to the December average rate of 29.6463, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 46.1907 was down 0.87% compared to the 2015 peak of 46.5965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 230,954 HUF
2015 Average 221,034 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 135,555 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 95,398.21 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

47.5944
25.7389
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.2718, compared to 28.3350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.9368 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.2718
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.3350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.9657 HUF (High: 29.5484 / Low: 27.5826). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4109 HUF (High: 27.7452 / Low: 27.3343).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.9657
April Spread (Stable) ±0.4109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 16.6179 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -16.6179

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 45.7731) against the same month in 2015 (average: 43.0157), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7574 (+6.41%).

2016 Avg (January) 45.7731
2015 Avg (January) 43.0157

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.1907 45.3812 45.7731
February 45.2210 43.5444 44.2008
March 45.2025 43.4616 44.1780
April 27.7452 27.3343 27.5601
May 28.3644 27.1111 27.9235
June 28.9026 27.3513 27.9955
July 28.6574 27.9192 28.4517
August 28.1206 27.4410 27.7415
September 27.8615 27.2866 27.5924
October 28.4438 27.2613 27.8903
November 29.5484 27.5826 28.6878
December 29.9690 29.1876 29.6463