YEARLY HIGH
46.5965 HUF
YEARLY LOW
41.6432 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.1987 HUF

2015 VEF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the VEF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 46.5965. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 41.6432.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.9534 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.0157 to the December average rate of 45.6876, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 46.5965 was up 12.87% compared to the 2014 peak of 41.2834, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 232,983 HUF
2014 Average 184,814 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 208,216 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,766.78 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

46.3657
42.4510
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.5903, compared to 44.8071 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2168 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.5903
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.8071

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 3.2827 HUF (High: 46.1628 / Low: 42.8800). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1883 HUF (High: 46.5215 / Low: 45.3332).

March Spread (Volatile) ±3.2827
December Spread (Stable) ±1.1883

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.5535 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5535

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2015: 46.0395) against the same month in 2014 (average: 39.0913), the exchange rate shifted by +6.9481 (+17.77%).

2015 Avg (November) 46.0395
2014 Avg (November) 39.0913

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 43.8653 41.6432 43.0157
February 43.6058 42.3877 42.7772
March 46.1628 42.8800 44.3991
April 44.4666 42.9382 43.8832
May 44.8690 42.3803 43.4304
June 44.8513 43.4339 44.0360
July 45.5572 44.2825 44.8249
August 45.0529 42.9138 44.2714
September 44.5555 43.1639 44.1132
October 45.0011 42.8216 43.9057
November 46.5965 44.6316 46.0395
December 46.5215 45.3332 45.6876