YEARLY HIGH
3.4984 SCR
YEARLY LOW
3.0015 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1974 SCR

2012 VEF to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the VEF to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 3.4984. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 3.0015.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4969 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2327 to the December average rate of 3.0494, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.4984 was up 8.55% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.2228, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,492 SCR
2011 Average 14,491 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 15,008 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,484.57 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

3.4223
2.9954
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2833, compared to 3.1116 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1717 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2833
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1116

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.2547 SCR (High: 3.2818 / Low: 3.0271). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0163 SCR (High: 3.0587 / Low: 3.0423).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2547
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2964 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2964

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 3.3867) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.8460), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5407 (+19.00%).

2012 Avg (July) 3.3867
2011 Avg (July) 2.8460

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3082 3.1005 3.2327
February 3.3378 3.2161 3.2622
March 3.3265 3.1821 3.2825
April 3.3414 3.2096 3.2659
May 3.4015 3.2203 3.2925
June 3.4260 3.2860 3.3640
July 3.4984 3.2713 3.3867
August 3.2818 3.0271 3.0903
September 3.0504 3.0015 3.0310
October 3.0724 3.0279 3.0531
November 3.0712 3.0387 3.0588
December 3.0587 3.0423 3.0494