2016 VEF to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2709 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.2668 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5222 SCR

2016 VEF to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 2.2709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 1.2668.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0042 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0699 to the December average rate of 1.3404, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.2709 was up 0.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.2487, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,355 SCR

2015 Average 10,533 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 6,334 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,020.91 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.2001

1.2322

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7146, compared to 1.3297 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3849 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7146

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3297

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2410 SCR (High: 2.2709 / Low: 2.0299). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0268 SCR (High: 1.3405 / Low: 1.3137).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2410

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0268

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.7536 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7536

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 2.1195) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.2202), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1007 (-4.54%).

2016 Avg (February) 2.1195

2015 Avg (February) 2.2202

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1676	2.0308	2.0699
February	2.2709	2.0299	2.1195
March	2.1522	2.0513	2.1014
April	1.4141	1.2813	1.3478
May	1.3862	1.3076	1.3363
June	1.3427	1.2668	1.3128
July	1.3469	1.2779	1.3181
August	1.3509	1.3092	1.3267
September	1.3405	1.3137	1.3281
October	1.3434	1.3068	1.3278
November	1.3540	1.3179	1.3372
December	1.3563	1.3193	1.3404