2013 VEF to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0608 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.8482 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1353 SCR

2013 VEF to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.0608. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 6, dropping to 1.8482.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2127 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0306 to the December average rate of 1.9167, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 3.0608 was down 12.51% compared to the 2012 peak of 3.4984, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,304 SCR

2012 Average 15,986 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 9,241 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,063.30 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

3.1475

1.7451

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3585, compared to 1.9121 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4464 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3585

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9121

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 1.0292 SCR (High: 2.8799 / Low: 1.8507). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0172 SCR (High: 1.9164 / Low: 1.8992).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0292

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0172

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.7012 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 3.0306) against the same month in 2012 (average: 3.2327), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2021 (-6.25%).

2013 Avg (January) 3.0306

2012 Avg (January) 3.2327

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.0608	2.9740	3.0306
February	2.9762	2.8723	2.9387
March	2.8799	1.8507	2.5632
April	1.8751	1.8482	1.8619
May	1.8897	1.8594	1.8725
June	1.8960	1.8742	1.8842
July	1.9194	1.8848	1.9037
August	1.9164	1.8992	1.9070
September	1.9283	1.8999	1.9129
October	1.9342	1.9073	1.9161
November	1.9378	1.9061	1.9161
December	1.9261	1.9087	1.9167