YEARLY HIGH
0.9735 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.8889 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9417 KES

2016 XPF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XPF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.9735. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.8889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0846 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9320 to the December average rate of 0.9012, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9735 was down 3.00% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0036, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XPF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,868 KES
2015 Average 4,564 KES
Yearly Trough Low 4,444 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 423.21 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9669
0.8952
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XPF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9489, compared to 0.9345 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9489
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9345

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0451 KES (High: 0.9487 / Low: 0.9036). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0092 KES (High: 0.9576 / Low: 0.9484).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0451
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0203 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0203

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.9534) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9001), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0532 (+5.91%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.9534
2015 Avg (May) 0.9001

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9366 0.9227 0.9320
February 0.9661 0.9320 0.9483
March 0.9641 0.9232 0.9460
April 0.9695 0.9515 0.9609
May 0.9735 0.9360 0.9534
June 0.9645 0.9373 0.9526
July 0.9476 0.9337 0.9407
August 0.9633 0.9430 0.9533
September 0.9576 0.9484 0.9521
October 0.9548 0.9250 0.9384
November 0.9487 0.9036 0.9215
December 0.9199 0.8889 0.9012