YEARLY HIGH
1.0682 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.9576 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0028 KES

2018 XPF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XPF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.0682. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.9576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1106 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0517 to the December average rate of 0.9743, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0682 was up 2.60% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XPF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,341 KES
2017 Average 4,889 KES
Yearly Trough Low 4,788 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 553.02 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0596
0.9653
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XPF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0279, compared to 0.9778 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0501 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0279
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9778

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0344 KES (High: 1.0682 / Low: 1.0338). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 KES (High: 0.9813 / Low: 0.9687).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0344
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0379 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0379

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.0493) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9242), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1251 (+13.53%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.0493
2017 Avg (February) 0.9242

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0659 1.0316 1.0517
February 1.0682 1.0338 1.0493
March 1.0540 1.0396 1.0456
April 1.0472 1.0154 1.0349
May 1.0112 0.9800 0.9971
June 1.0007 0.9796 0.9886
July 0.9938 0.9804 0.9864
August 0.9885 0.9576 0.9737
September 0.9951 0.9756 0.9846
October 0.9803 0.9652 0.9732
November 0.9869 0.9637 0.9745
December 0.9813 0.9687 0.9743