YEARLY HIGH
0.5354 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.4356 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4867 UGX

2012 ZMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ZMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.5354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 0.4356.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0997 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4683 to the December average rate of 0.5134, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.5354 was down 9.40% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.5909, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ZMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,677 UGX
2011 Average 2,588 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,178 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 498.61 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.5200
0.4402
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4681, compared to 0.5053 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0372 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4681
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5053

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0476 UGX (High: 0.5256 / Low: 0.4780). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0107 UGX (High: 0.5058 / Low: 0.4951).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0476
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0107

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0214 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0214

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 0.5134) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.4773), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0361 (+7.56%).

2012 Avg (December) 0.5134
2011 Avg (December) 0.4773

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4832 0.4496 0.4683
February 0.4633 0.4356 0.4469
March 0.4848 0.4616 0.4686
April 0.4863 0.4702 0.4771
May 0.4841 0.4632 0.4752
June 0.4787 0.4644 0.4723
July 0.5256 0.4780 0.5070
August 0.5165 0.5008 0.5078
September 0.5058 0.4951 0.4999
October 0.5093 0.4898 0.4995
November 0.5136 0.4932 0.5041
December 0.5354 0.5046 0.5134