2016 ZMK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6914 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.6297 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6508 UGX

2016 ZMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ZMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 0.6914. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 0.6297.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0617 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6559 to the December average rate of 0.6856, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6914 was down 1.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ZMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,457 UGX

2015 Average 3,083 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,149 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 308.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6905

0.6313

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6437, compared to 0.6580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0143 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6437

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0312 UGX (High: 0.6907 / Low: 0.6595). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0033 UGX (High: 0.6447 / Low: 0.6414).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0312

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0126 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0126

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.6856) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6398), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0458 (+7.15%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.6856

2015 Avg (December) 0.6398

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6627	0.6433	0.6559
February	0.6620	0.6387	0.6526
March	0.6428	0.6359	0.6400
April	0.6416	0.6297	0.6363
May	0.6446	0.6314	0.6367
June	0.6498	0.6370	0.6407
July	0.6474	0.6420	0.6456
August	0.6473	0.6408	0.6422
September	0.6447	0.6414	0.6437
October	0.6591	0.6433	0.6531
November	0.6907	0.6595	0.6778
December	0.6914	0.6765	0.6856