YEARLY HIGH
0.7032 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.5288 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6162 UGX

2015 ZMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ZMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 0.7032. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.5288.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1743 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5429 to the December average rate of 0.6398, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.7032 was up 32.72% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.5298, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ZMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,516 UGX
2014 Average 2,474 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,644 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 871.72 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.7130
0.5274
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5665, compared to 0.6658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0993 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5665
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0510 UGX (High: 0.6723 / Low: 0.6212). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 UGX (High: 0.5721 / Low: 0.5663).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0510
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0414 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0414

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 0.6933) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.5094), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1838 (+36.09%).

2015 Avg (October) 0.6933
2014 Avg (October) 0.5094

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5524 0.5288 0.5429
February 0.5515 0.5449 0.5466
March 0.5755 0.5504 0.5608
April 0.5721 0.5663 0.5698
May 0.5820 0.5687 0.5724
June 0.6282 0.5832 0.6066
July 0.6723 0.6212 0.6377
August 0.6957 0.6527 0.6746
September 0.7012 0.6950 0.6976
October 0.7032 0.6731 0.6933
November 0.6765 0.6384 0.6519
December 0.6564 0.6267 0.6398