2011 AOA to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1221 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8696 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9480 KES

2011 AOA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the AOA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.1221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 0.8696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2525 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8733 to the December average rate of 0.9115, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.1221 was up 24.53% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.9010, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,610 KES

2010 Average 4,317 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,348 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,262.49 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.0853

0.8541

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9048, compared to 0.9912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0864 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9048

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0959 KES (High: 1.0356 / Low: 0.9396). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 KES (High: 0.8775 / Low: 0.8706).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0959

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0846 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0846

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.0660) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.8773), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1887 (+21.51%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.0660

2010 Avg (October) 0.8773

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8775	0.8706	0.8733
February	0.8862	0.8696	0.8765
March	0.9245	0.8900	0.9062
April	0.9056	0.8951	0.9008
May	0.9329	0.8949	0.9163
June	0.9833	0.9230	0.9559
July	0.9789	0.9518	0.9658
August	1.0200	0.9790	0.9975
September	1.0904	1.0017	1.0251
October	1.1221	1.0449	1.0660
November	1.0356	0.9396	0.9814
December	0.9475	0.8803	0.9115