2016 AOA to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7586 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.6055 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6241 KES

2016 AOA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AOA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.7586. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 0.6055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1531 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6898 to the December average rate of 0.6165, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7586 was down 14.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8915, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,793 KES

2015 Average 4,124 KES

Yearly Trough Low 3,027 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 765.56 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6980

0.5995

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6351, compared to 0.6131 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0220 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6351

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6131

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1019 KES (High: 0.7586 / Low: 0.6567). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 KES (High: 0.6119 / Low: 0.6109).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1019

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0417 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0417

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.6898) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8833), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1935 (-21.91%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.6898

2015 Avg (January) 0.8833

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7586	0.6567	0.6898
February	0.6583	0.6395	0.6481
March	0.6401	0.6316	0.6372
April	0.6326	0.6096	0.6179
May	0.6098	0.6055	0.6077
June	0.6114	0.6084	0.6101
July	0.6135	0.6092	0.6118
August	0.6145	0.6117	0.6124
September	0.6119	0.6109	0.6115
October	0.6131	0.6096	0.6119
November	0.6153	0.6127	0.6145
December	0.6178	0.6143	0.6165