2018 AOA to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6250 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.3276 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4141 KES

2018 AOA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AOA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.6250. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 4, dropping to 0.3276.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2974 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5777 to the December average rate of 0.3308, the exchange rate registered a net change of -42.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6250 was down 0.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6272, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,125 KES

2017 Average 3,116 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,638 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,487.20 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6025

0.3053

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4742, compared to 0.3540 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1202 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4742

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3540

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1319 KES (High: 0.6250 / Low: 0.4931). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0036 KES (High: 0.3322 / Low: 0.3287).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1319

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0950 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0950

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.5777) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6253), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0476 (-7.60%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.5777

2017 Avg (January) 0.6253

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6250	0.4931	0.5777
February	0.4924	0.4753	0.4827
March	0.4762	0.4688	0.4724
April	0.4716	0.4439	0.4615
May	0.4454	0.4242	0.4334
June	0.4260	0.4048	0.4175
July	0.4072	0.3907	0.3975
August	0.3915	0.3645	0.3787
September	0.3645	0.3422	0.3532
October	0.3410	0.3302	0.3337
November	0.3326	0.3276	0.3300
December	0.3322	0.3287	0.3308