2012 AOA to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9198 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8460 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8854 KES

2012 AOA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AOA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.9198. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 12, dropping to 0.8460.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0738 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9065 to the December average rate of 0.8975, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.9198 was down 18.03% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.1221, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,599 KES

2011 Average 4,742 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,230 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 368.98 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.9100

0.8675

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8836, compared to 0.8873 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8836

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8873

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0388 KES (High: 0.8849 / Low: 0.8460). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 KES (High: 0.8751 / Low: 0.8720).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0388

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0323 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0323

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.9065) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.8733), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0332 (+3.80%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.9065

2011 Avg (January) 0.8733

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9198	0.8811	0.9065
February	0.8825	0.8680	0.8742
March	0.8792	0.8640	0.8722
April	0.8751	0.8720	0.8738
May	0.9099	0.8720	0.8851
June	0.9052	0.8767	0.8900
July	0.8849	0.8460	0.8710
August	0.8845	0.8779	0.8810
September	0.8960	0.8807	0.8868
October	0.8937	0.8863	0.8917
November	0.8983	0.8923	0.8955
December	0.8989	0.8953	0.8975