YEARLY HIGH
49.2088 BIF
YEARLY LOW
30.5993 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.3432 BIF

2019 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 49.2088. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 30.5993.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.6095 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.3118 to the December average rate of 31.3926, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 49.2088 was down 48.73% compared to the 2018 peak of 95.9866, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 246,044 BIF
2018 Average 338,930 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 152,996 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 93,047.29 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

50.0049
29.6866
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.2530, compared to 34.4335 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.8195 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.2530
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.4335

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 11.0373 BIF (High: 41.6366 / Low: 30.5993). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2579 BIF (High: 31.5174 / Low: 31.2596).

August Spread (Volatile) ±11.0373
December Spread (Stable) ±0.2579

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 7.6465 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.6465

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 48.3118) against the same month in 2018 (average: 92.8091), the exchange rate shifted by -44.4973 (-47.95%).

2019 Avg (January) 48.3118
2018 Avg (January) 92.8091

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 49.2088 47.4935 48.3118
February 49.0815 45.4796 47.3260
March 45.9761 41.4345 44.1313
April 44.0346 40.0419 42.5596
May 41.6073 40.4891 40.9738
June 43.5305 40.9523 42.2153
July 44.4257 42.0235 43.4698
August 41.6366 30.5993 35.8234
September 33.6552 31.0683 32.7438
October 32.0974 31.0239 31.7915
November 31.5403 31.2032 31.3798
December 31.5174 31.2596 31.3926