YEARLY HIGH
23.1266 BIF
YEARLY LOW
19.4574 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.8167 BIF

2021 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 23.1266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 19.4574.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6693 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.6645 to the December average rate of 19.6151, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 23.1266 was down 26.84% compared to the 2020 peak of 31.6101, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 115,633 BIF
2020 Average 136,864 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 97,287 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,346.31 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

22.9694
19.3101
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.4921, compared to 20.1413 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3508 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.4921
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.1413

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.8386 BIF (High: 23.1266 / Low: 22.2880). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1544 BIF (High: 20.3124 / Low: 20.1580).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8386
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1544

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6690 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6690

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 22.6645) against the same month in 2020 (average: 31.4528), the exchange rate shifted by -8.7883 (-27.94%).

2021 Avg (January) 22.6645
2020 Avg (January) 31.4528

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 23.1266 22.2880 22.6645
February 22.3122 21.6367 21.9955
March 21.7059 21.2481 21.4800
April 21.4247 20.8541 21.0883
May 21.0668 20.8353 20.9414
June 20.8761 20.6926 20.7829
July 20.7057 20.4823 20.6048
August 20.5355 20.2885 20.4183
September 20.3124 20.1580 20.2478
October 20.2219 19.9851 20.0917
November 19.9890 19.7369 19.8701
December 19.7356 19.4574 19.6151