YEARLY HIGH
12.1521 BIF
YEARLY LOW
3.5198 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.4078 BIF

2023 ARS to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 21, valuing the pair at 12.1521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 3.5198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.6323 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.3678 to the December average rate of 5.2155, the exchange rate registered a net change of -54.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 12.1521 was down 37.71% compared to the 2022 peak of 19.5102, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,761 BIF
2022 Average 80,098 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 17,599 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43,161.50 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

12.0242
4.5965
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6420, compared to 8.1736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.4684 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6420
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 4.3685 BIF (High: 7.8883 / Low: 3.5198). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0673 BIF (High: 8.1351 / Low: 8.0677).

December Spread (Volatile) ±4.3685
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0673

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.8241 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8241

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2023: 10.3462) against the same month in 2022 (average: 17.2713), the exchange rate shifted by -6.9251 (-40.10%).

2023 Avg (May) 10.3462
2022 Avg (May) 17.2713

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.7042 11.0924 11.3678
February 11.1091 10.5029 10.8130
March 10.4964 9.9766 10.2539
April 10.0053 9.3071 9.6657
May 12.1521 8.9760 10.3462
June 11.7508 11.0524 11.4052
July 11.0798 10.2869 10.6543
August 10.2576 8.0836 8.9179
September 8.1351 8.0677 8.1051
October 8.1434 8.0692 8.1092
November 8.1428 7.8970 8.0396
December 7.8883 3.5198 5.2155