2014 ARS to JMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.2723 JMD

YEARLY LOW

13.1880 JMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.6999 JMD

2014 ARS to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 16.2723. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 15, dropping to 13.1880.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0843 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.3113 to the December average rate of 13.3356, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 16.2723 was down 15.71% compared to the 2013 peak of 19.3059, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 81,362 JMD

2013 Average 91,376 JMD

Yearly Trough Low 65,940 JMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,421.61 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

15.5168

13.0504

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.9741, compared to 13.4256 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5484 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.9741

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.4256

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.9150 JMD (High: 16.2723 / Low: 13.3573). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0722 JMD (High: 13.2874 / Low: 13.2152).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.9150

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0722

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.6314 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6314

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 15.3113) against the same month in 2013 (average: 18.7196), the exchange rate shifted by -3.4083 (-18.21%).

2014 Avg (January) 15.3113

2013 Avg (January) 18.7196

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.2723	13.3573	15.3113
February	13.8449	13.3748	13.6799
March	13.8016	13.6354	13.7197
April	13.7277	13.6503	13.6907
May	13.7877	13.7090	13.7490
June	13.7503	13.6380	13.6939
July	13.8242	13.7149	13.7769
August	13.6822	13.3931	13.5409
September	13.4763	13.2967	13.3795
October	13.3305	13.1880	13.2651
November	13.2874	13.2152	13.2559
December	13.4968	13.2661	13.3356