YEARLY HIGH
6.7594 JMD
YEARLY LOW
3.2278 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9040 JMD

2018 ARS to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.7594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 26, dropping to 3.2278.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5316 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5377 to the December average rate of 3.3823, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.7594 was down 20.92% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.5473, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,797 JMD
2017 Average 38,877 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 16,139 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,658.20 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.8532
3.0668
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9266, compared to 3.8813 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0453 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9266
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8813

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.4125 JMD (High: 4.9442 / Low: 3.5317). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0981 JMD (High: 6.3435 / Low: 6.2454).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.4125
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0981

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.0325 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 6.5377) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.1081), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5704 (-19.37%).

2018 Avg (January) 6.5377
2017 Avg (January) 8.1081

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.7594 6.3312 6.5377
February 6.4231 6.2631 6.3401
March 6.3435 6.2454 6.2928
April 6.2527 6.0738 6.1650
May 6.0336 5.0221 5.3473
June 5.1190 4.5226 4.8768
July 4.8910 4.4779 4.7436
August 4.9442 3.5317 4.5694
September 3.7072 3.2596 3.5370
October 3.7223 3.3990 3.5718
November 3.6154 3.2278 3.4840
December 3.4756 3.3491 3.3823