YEARLY HIGH
3.6776 JMD
YEARLY LOW
2.2024 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.8482 JMD

2019 ARS to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 3.6776. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 2.2024.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4752 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4806 to the December average rate of 2.2905, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.6776 was down 45.59% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.7594, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,388 JMD
2018 Average 24,482 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 11,012 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,375.77 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.6074
2.1707
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1742, compared to 2.5222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6521 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1742
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.8296 JMD (High: 3.0620 / Low: 2.2324). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0443 JMD (High: 2.3673 / Low: 2.3230).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.8296
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0443

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.5268 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5268

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 3.4877) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.3401), the exchange rate shifted by -2.8524 (-44.99%).

2019 Avg (February) 3.4877
2018 Avg (February) 6.3401

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5785 3.3583 3.4806
February 3.6776 3.3019 3.4877
March 3.2492 2.8590 3.0595
April 3.1091 2.8951 3.0102
May 3.0470 2.9620 3.0064
June 3.0809 2.9091 3.0010
July 3.1864 3.0894 3.1480
August 3.0620 2.2324 2.6212
September 2.4823 2.2770 2.3991
October 2.3521 2.2993 2.3237
November 2.3673 2.3230 2.3504
December 2.3562 2.2024 2.2905