YEARLY HIGH
131.7536 MNT
YEARLY LOW
59.1553 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
92.7086 MNT

2018 ARS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 131.7536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 59.1553.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 72.5983 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 127.5286 to the December average rate of 65.1960, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 131.7536 was down 18.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 161.4394, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 658,768 MNT
2017 Average 737,423 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 295,777 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 362,991.38 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

133.9418
56.9829
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 112.8919, compared to 72.5254 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 40.3665 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 112.8919
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 72.5254

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 26.5464 MNT (High: 89.5945 / Low: 63.0481). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4965 MNT (High: 118.8697 / Low: 117.3732).

August Spread (Volatile) ±26.5464
March Spread (Stable) ±1.4965

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 18.9375 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -18.9375

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 127.5286) against the same month in 2017 (average: 156.3515), the exchange rate shifted by -28.8229 (-18.43%).

2018 Avg (January) 127.5286
2017 Avg (January) 156.3515

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 131.7536 123.0698 127.5286
February 124.8092 118.3123 121.0729
March 118.8697 117.3732 118.3456
April 118.7669 116.4558 118.0856
May 115.7820 95.9072 102.2422
June 96.5832 78.1357 90.0765
July 89.6975 84.3120 88.4058
August 89.5945 63.0481 82.3336
September 66.2876 59.1553 63.3961
October 69.4030 61.8669 67.2068
November 70.3859 63.9917 68.6138
December 67.1638 63.9664 65.1960