YEARLY HIGH
33.8560 MNT
YEARLY LOW
27.8574 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
30.0778 MNT

2021 ARS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 33.8560. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 27.8574.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.9987 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.2280 to the December average rate of 28.0695, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 33.8560 was down 25.46% compared to the 2020 peak of 45.4186, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 169,280 MNT
2020 Average 200,641 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 139,287 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,993.41 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

33.7439
27.5537
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.2903, compared to 28.8653 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.4250 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.2903
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.8653

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.1511 MNT (High: 33.8560 / Low: 32.7049). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2709 MNT (High: 28.8708 / Low: 28.6000).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.1511
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2709

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.0559 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0559

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 33.2280) against the same month in 2020 (average: 45.1100), the exchange rate shifted by -11.8820 (-26.34%).

2021 Avg (January) 33.2280
2020 Avg (January) 45.1100

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 33.8560 32.7049 33.2280
February 32.5667 31.7221 32.1721
March 31.6437 31.0418 31.3252
April 31.2638 30.4951 30.7870
May 30.6446 30.1343 30.3188
June 30.1236 29.7511 29.9106
July 29.8431 29.4714 29.6278
August 29.4664 29.0853 29.3528
September 29.0955 28.7928 28.9314
October 28.8708 28.6000 28.7415
November 28.5838 28.2657 28.4690
December 28.2690 27.8574 28.0695