2019 ARS to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

66.4901 MNT

YEARLY LOW

44.2447 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

54.7602 MNT

2019 ARS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 66.4901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 44.2447.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.2454 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 65.6762 to the December average rate of 45.0876, the exchange rate registered a net change of -31.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 66.4901 was down 49.53% compared to the 2018 peak of 131.7536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 332,450 MNT

2018 Average 462,798 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 221,224 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 111,226.83 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

67.7442

42.9281

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 59.9826, compared to 49.5379 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.4447 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 59.9826

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 49.5379

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 15.8957 MNT (High: 60.1404 / Low: 44.2447). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3012 MNT (High: 45.1609 / Low: 44.8596).

August Spread (Volatile) ±15.8957

November Spread (Stable) ±0.3012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 10.9650 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.9650

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 65.6762) against the same month in 2018 (average: 127.5286), the exchange rate shifted by -61.8524 (-48.50%).

2019 Avg (January) 65.6762

2018 Avg (January) 127.5286

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	66.4901	64.9029	65.6762
February	66.1598	62.0920	64.5573
March	62.7536	57.2702	60.1550
April	60.3979	53.5438	57.9963
May	55.9905	54.2005	54.8146
June	62.5984	54.6346	56.6960
July	64.0536	60.7273	62.6906
August	60.1404	44.2447	51.7256
September	48.2080	44.7156	47.0780
October	46.4082	44.6472	45.6492
November	45.1609	44.8596	44.9961
December	45.2384	44.8599	45.0876