YEARLY HIGH
4.2607 MNT
YEARLY LOW
3.2959 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7650 MNT

2024 ARS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the ARS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 4.2607. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 3.2959.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9648 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2194 to the December average rate of 3.3319, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 4.2607 was down 77.90% compared to the 2023 peak of 19.2780, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,304 MNT
2023 Average 66,106 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 16,479 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,824.22 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

4.3081
3.2432
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0171, compared to 3.5130 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5041 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0171
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5130

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was July, with a trading range of 0.1320 MNT (High: 3.7770 / Low: 3.6450). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0585 MNT (High: 3.5664 / Low: 3.5080).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1320
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0585

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1114 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1114

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 4.2194) against the same month in 2023 (average: 18.7199), the exchange rate shifted by -14.5006 (-77.46%).

2024 Avg (January) 4.2194
2023 Avg (January) 18.7199

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2607 4.1749 4.2194
February 4.1738 4.0958 4.1362
March 4.0976 4.0222 4.0564
April 4.0233 3.9334 3.9757
May 3.9527 3.8585 3.8964
June 3.8581 3.7870 3.8184
July 3.7770 3.6450 3.7240
August 3.6763 3.5707 3.6127
September 3.5664 3.5080 3.5386
October 3.5040 3.4313 3.4700
November 3.4443 3.3633 3.4005
December 3.3601 3.2959 3.3319