2011 ARS to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.0435 NPR

YEARLY LOW

17.0015 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.9263 NPR

2011 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 20.0435. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 17.0015.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0420 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.8852 to the December average rate of 19.5726, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 20.0435 was up 5.72% compared to the 2010 peak of 18.9597, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 100,218 NPR

2010 Average 91,260 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 85,007 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,210.06 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

19.8046

17.0206

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.6242, compared to 18.2285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.6242

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.2285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 1.1396 NPR (High: 19.2804 / Low: 18.1408). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1849 NPR (High: 17.6097 / Low: 17.4248).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1396

June Spread (Stable) ±0.1849

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2828 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2828

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 19.5726) against the same month in 2010 (average: 17.8005), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7722 (+9.96%).

2011 Avg (December) 19.5726

2010 Avg (December) 17.8005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.9446	17.7471	17.8852
February	17.8240	17.5551	17.7098
March	17.6707	17.4237	17.5747
April	17.5700	17.3043	17.4340
May	17.7754	17.3230	17.6064
June	17.6097	17.4248	17.5354
July	17.4668	17.0015	17.2526
August	17.6391	17.0578	17.4185
September	18.5083	17.3793	17.9934
October	18.4674	18.1970	18.3711
November	19.2804	18.1408	18.7626
December	20.0435	18.9920	19.5726