2019 ARS to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0886 NPR

YEARLY LOW

1.8846 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4065 NPR

2019 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 3.0886. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 1.8846.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2040 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0243 to the December average rate of 1.9043, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.0886 was down 44.09% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.5241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,443 NPR

2018 Average 20,649 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 9,423 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,020.00 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.1363

1.7923

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7177, compared to 2.0952 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6225 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7177

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0952

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.6253 NPR (High: 2.5099 / Low: 1.8846). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0261 NPR (High: 1.9203 / Low: 1.8942).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6253

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0261

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3923 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3923

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 2.9687) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.1947), the exchange rate shifted by -2.2261 (-42.85%).

2019 Avg (February) 2.9687

2018 Avg (February) 5.1947

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.0687	2.9577	3.0243
February	3.0886	2.8654	2.9687
March	2.8458	2.5126	2.6960
April	2.6770	2.4460	2.5833
May	2.5172	2.4528	2.4895
June	2.6222	2.4686	2.5445
July	2.6396	2.5118	2.5929
August	2.5099	1.8846	2.2006
September	2.0729	1.9198	2.0141
October	1.9791	1.8941	1.9441
November	1.9329	1.8958	1.9155
December	1.9203	1.8942	1.9043